Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 677.061299 761.118551 854.617232 966.895156 1098.808590 1249.787368 1436.975200
2025-02-16 547.465420 657.058916 789.874888 964.931546 1193.002830 1484.955013 1895.132255
2025-02-23 488.534164 611.268927 768.496771 989.058994 1297.797667 1726.312320 2388.182567
2025-03-02 446.033311 576.897782 752.201732 1011.107476 1396.265770 1970.067434 2936.105971
2025-03-09 407.576044 541.397912 727.290837 1013.799145 1462.603540 2173.774346 3467.874487
2025-03-16 372.303251 505.513314 696.216290 1000.911783 1499.890890 2334.741529 3965.131152
2025-03-23 350.160440 485.597612 685.239704 1015.730783 1581.614665 2582.683449 4689.291789
2025-03-30 320.868393 452.086741 649.828900 986.182823 1582.418664 2684.902976 5150.807816
2025-04-06 296.247751 423.379668 618.820134 959.595965 1583.347392 2785.742328 5638.034150
2025-04-13 273.750782 396.083915 587.440301 928.444206 1570.684224 2856.238810 6076.503520
2025-04-20 265.237095 389.966450 589.545995 955.583108 1671.806993 3180.923504 7260.551323
2025-04-27 254.612391 379.540955 583.398048 966.806021 1742.877384 3455.792960 8427.430486
2025-05-04 244.097296 369.131737 577.397785 979.677599 1824.138075 3785.224157 9953.061037
2025-05-11 231.436947 354.327606 562.683357 974.594026 1867.537430 4038.401907 11395.230736
2025-05-18 224.513942 348.608983 563.337748 999.458165 1981.395767 4503.713900 13883.145776
2025-05-25 217.756862 342.609529 562.832750 1021.746728 2093.522113 5000.345917 16889.329334
2025-06-01 208.964368 332.378535 553.556138 1024.482635 2159.033907 5384.465093 19755.292550
2025-06-08 198.937427 319.273655 537.782508 1011.420166 2182.708013 5649.409365 22308.580151
2025-06-15 193.042509 313.220968 534.985858 1026.439507 2282.212209 6194.852985 26972.949840
2025-06-22 182.501099 298.027245 513.241801 996.493174 2255.807039 6304.428526 29203.399080
2025-06-29 173.070181 284.378059 493.640573 969.550771 2233.745763 6425.933268 31701.340143
2025-07-06 163.812587 270.581495 472.879070 937.985976 2194.047494 6473.145806 33785.905994
2025-07-13 161.219725 269.155862 476.941961 965.484491 2330.860706 7255.055932 42864.608139